1. The upside potential for new bldg is always lower than old bldg. However, new bldg can offer better payment term and mortage. The two are different kinds of investment. eg If I have 150k as downpayment, I can buy 3M flat in GWF which is impossible to do so in old bldg

2. Stock market is not the only factor affecting property price. Structural shortage and inflation expectation is what driving the property price.

3. Decoupling is going on already. The earnings of China companies and US companies are experiencing two different cycles except very few sectors. The recent result announcements evidenced that already. However, it is certainly that growth of China will slow down from an explosive double digit to fast high single digit some days. Dropping of stock market is mainly because of risk adverse behaviour. FYI, consumer confidence and employment rate in China are still in an encouraging situation. Only inflation is the real problem for Asia Pacific countries in 08. However, the situation today, such as exchange reserve, are totally different from 1997 financial crisis.

¦^´_ #13 wooow138 ªº©«¤l

i see more similar news in recent newspapers.  Interest rates from US will definitely rise up in coming months and to be the long trend. Is it real and you believe that? you sound like a professional analyst.

No need to argue, will see the outcome very soon

1. There's no cheap money in the market.  (no cheap money to be borrowed in the market anymore)
2. Say the growth in GDP drops 5%, how many companies will suffer lost as their budget, expansion, etc are based on projection on GDP 10-12% growth)
3. Correlation between real estates and property market are already up to 80% now, meaning that stocks up, property up and vice versa...very dangerous stage.
HSI in Aug 07 was around 24000; indeed, given that slow down the growth of GDP now, what do you think about HSI will be?
4. In order to control inflation, US will definitely raise the interest rate in the near future, the first suffer victims will be the property developers as they borrowed a lot of money.

and yes ®üÀØx©¤ is definitely not worth to buy. $6000-$7000+ per sq ft? better to buy Mid-level lar...®üÀØx©¤ is out of no where, bad location and harsh transportation.

Don't worry, guys. If the house is just for self-living, you can enjoy the current low interest and try to pay all the mortagage ASAP.
The housing price is defenitely slowly upwards in the long run.
I always don't like the way to use housing to make "quick money".

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My advice is: if you treat GW as long term living place..it's fine..but if you are the investors...sell it once you find a nice price with no doubt. As you know, you still have to wait at least 5 years + in order to see the development on the old airport. In the meantime, there will be few new buildings around the airport area later or even now ¤Ó¤l¶×,»¨ªù, and more...by then, GW will be an old building...today HSI dropped again as predicted (my previous post 22xxx)...there will be a little rebound...after that..no eyes to see...

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We just recently sold 2X flat H for a nice profit of 20.8%.And as for ®üÀØx©¤ we've had a look and we think that its a very good place for investment too... The transportation is very good in my opinion, handy to have the ferry pier so close, and very close to Hunghom and TST.  Minivans are also convenient once you get used to them.

[ ¥»©«³Ì«á¥Ñ babo ©ó 2008-6-12 10:52 PM ½s¿è ]

Congratulations to you babo. Hope you enjoy ®üÀØx©¤.

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